I'd been thinking of asking you guys about this for a while now, and the previous post prompted me to do so.
First, a little background. I've been running bad for about two years now. Just the general feeling of "if an opponent has outs, he'll hit them".
So I go to Las Vegas last month for the World Deaf Poker Tournament, an annual event that I'd attended the previous three years, cashing once. It's a $300 buy-in ($200 prize pool, $40 house fee, $60 charity donation).
The first sign of trouble: After having 160-180 players the first three years, there are only 92 players this year. The second sign: 15 minute blind levels. I'm thinking "Turbo Donkament" but play it out anyway.
I'm literally catching no cards at all, but a few well-timed bluffs had increased my 5000 starting stack to 5900 about an hour in when this hand occurs:
Blinds are 150-300 and I pick up 3-3 in the cutoff. Two limpers call and I go along for the ride to see if I can flop a set. SB calls and BB checks for a 1500 pot.
Flop: 8-5-3 Rainbow.
It's checked around to me, and I lead out for 800. Both blinds fold and the first limper (a bit of a LAGgy) check-raises to 2000. The other limper folds and I go into the tank for a minute. I decide that either he has a big pair or a draw. So I shove, and I'd he has a higher set, so be it.
He insta-calls and shows A-A. I have him covered by a little, so close to a double up, I think.
And the way I've been running, I have X-ray vision right from the dealer's hand...
So the opponent takes a bunch of congratulations and saying "I had to call!"
I'm crippled (down to 1450, then a chip race knocked me down to 1400 with 200-400 blinds and I lost a race).
So here's my question: Could I have gotten away from my set when I got check-raised? Every fiber of my being says I played it right, and got supremely unlucky. But definitely want to see other perspectives.